Budget and jobs growth would suffer if Australia cut immigration, Government report finds



Updated

April 17, 2018 10:19:33

Cutting Australia’s migration rate would cost the budget billions of dollars, lower living standards and reduce jobs growth, according to a report delivered to the Federal Government.

Key points:

  • Joint Treasury-Home Affairs report states migrants deliver economic dividend to Australia, contributing nearly $10b to budget
  • If migration rate was cut, report warns workforce would begin shrinking, resulting in lower GDP
  • Only migrants found to cost budget over their lifetime are refugees, those on humanitarian visas

The paper, prepared by the departments of Treasury and Home Affairs, found the 2014/15 intake alone would contribute nearly $10 billion to the budget over the next 50 years.

“Migrants deliver an economic dividend for Australia due to current policy settings which favour migrants of working age who have skills to contribute to the economy,” the report states.

“This, in turn, increases Australia’s GDP and GDP per person, with positive flow-on effects for living standards.”

The release of the report coincides with a heated debate within the Coalition about Australia’s immigration rate and increasing community concerns about how quickly the country is growing.

Australia accepts up to 190,000 permanent migrants each year — most of them skilled — but former prime minister Tony Abbott wants that number halved to help lower the cost of living and reduce pressure on infrastructure.

The report acknowledges a bigger population brings challenges, including more congestion and demand for housing, and warns infrastructure investment must keep up with the growth.

But it also warned a reduction in immigration would shrink Australia’s workforce.

In turn, that would have far-reaching consequences for the economy, including “significantly lower[ing] GDP and GDP per person than would otherwise be the case”.

“Migration has been critical to growth in the Australian workforce in recent years,” it states.

According to the report, recent migrants account for 65 per cent of the new jobs that have been created in the past five years, which is significant given that Mr Abbott made a pledge in 2013 to create a million jobs in that time-frame.

Australia is on track to meet that million jobs target, but the report makes it clear that it is mainly because of high immigration.

Report debunks myth that migrants ‘steal’ Australian jobs

The report also counters claims that migrants are a drag on the welfare system, revealing migrants are likely to pay more in tax than they claim in social services.

And it found the existing labour market had been neither “helped nor harmed” by migration, debunking the myth that migrants “steal” Australians’ jobs.

“[Migrants] offset Australia’s ageing population, improve labour force participation and productivity, and help businesses to source skills that are difficult to develop at short notice,” it states.

Skilled migrants granted visas in 2014/15 are expected to make a net lifetime contribution of nearly $7 billion to the budget, while those on 457 visas are expected to contribute close to $4 billion.

The only migrants expected to cost the budget over their lifetime are those granted refugee or humanitarian visas.

While making the case for a big Australia, the report also carries a warning that governments need to spend more money maintaining existing infrastructure to keep up with the pace of growth.

“These pressures should not only be addressed by new infrastructure. They should also include better use of existing infrastructure,” the report states.

Topics:

government-and-politics,

abbott-tony,

immigration,

work,

community-and-society,

budget,

federal-government,

australia

First posted

April 17, 2018 10:10:02



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